Barack Obama is Entirely Too Rational
On May 19th, 2011, President Barack Obama made what appears to have been his biggest foreign policy mistake ever. He made the always regrettable decision to be blunt and rational during his speech regarding the Middle East. What Barack Obama said was more than likely the most well-thought out, pragmatic, honest, reasonable string of words strung into statements and subsequently in paragraphs ever said about anything in the Middle East, and therefore the most terrible, diabolical, satanic line of invectives ever hurled at the State of Israel.
I was proud of President Obama after his speech. Though he did allow himself his usual rhetorical flourishes, more than anything else he was frank and showed a new sense of realism that was absent from most of his speeches. In fact, I believe it to be amongst the best of his addresses yet. Definitely in the top 5. He spoke strongly without sounding forceful, he spoke eloquently without sounding whimsical. He carefully and thoroughly laid out his plans for the Middle East, centering on an economic revitalization program for Egypt and Tunisia that includes debt relief, loan guarantees, and other aid programs on both the macro- and microeconomic level. Obama also stated that he will be working in conjunction with the IMF, World Bank, and European Union on this.
But the most hyped part of the speech was obviously the last 10 or so minutes, where he explained his position on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Leading up to the speech, sources in the Israeli government believed that Obama would barely, if at all, mention the conflict. Much to their chagrin, Obama proved them very, very wrong.
Instead of summarizing what Obama said, I am going to say what people like Benjamin Netanyahu said about the speech, and then rebut them with what Obama actually said and meant.
What They Thought: “Israel appreciates President’s Obama commitment to peace,” Netanyahu said, but stressed that he expects Obama to refrain from demanding that Israel withdraw to “indefensible” 1967 borders “which will leave a large population of Israelis in Judea and Samaria and outside Israel’s borders.”
What Obama Actually Said or Meant: “The borders of Israel and Palestine should be based on the 1967 lines with mutually agreed swaps, so that secure and recognized borders are established for both states. “
I don’t see how this can be misconstrued. The borders should be BASED on the June 5th, 1967 lines with MUTUALLY AGREED SWAPS. So what he said was in fact, THE SAME THING THAT BOTH CLINTON AND BUSH SAID. Netanyahu and other Israeli politicians are up in arms, saying Obama must honor the letters from President Bush to Former Prime Minister and Current Vegetable Ariel Sharon in which he promised Israel would be able to keep a number of settlement blocs (probably referring to Gush Etzion, Ariel, and the Jerusalem area) in any final settlement. I would like to point out two things that are somewhat obvious. Firstly, what Obama said does not necessarily negate the 2004 letter to Sharon. It sets a sort of parameter. It answers the question, “where do we start on borders?” Well, how about 1967? The UN, Israel, and Jordan did a pretty good job of demarcating it, so there’s not a shortage of maps and the like. It’s an official armistice line, it even has a color (GREEEEEN). Sounds like a good place to start. What is the West Bank and Gaza? Well, luckily for us, someone had already figured that out. Looks like we can move on from the debate.
Secondly, and any person should know this, President Obama is not President Bush, and therefore is not bound to honor any agreement that is anything less than a signed, sealed, and delivered treaty. It’s nice if he honors promises made by past Presidents, but it’s not his obligation.
Ending this debate, one U.S. official said that “President Obama’s speech should be seen in its entirety, with 1967 borders and the swap of territories as the starting point for negotiations, not the final outcome.” Argument over.
Quickly though, I’d like to say something to all of these armchair generals commenting on the indefensible borders. Specifically people like Glenn Beck, the various Republican presidential candidates, and Congress members. For the first 20 years of its existence Israel did a pretty good job of defending those indefensible borders. What are you defending against anyway? A nation you are at peace with? Because the Palestinian government won’t think it’s in its own best interests to make sure people don’t start firing rockets at Herzliya? Think people, think.
What Netanyahu thought: “the viability of a Palestinian state cannot come at the expense of Israel’s existence.”
What Obama Actually said: “The Palestinian people must have the right to govern themselves, and reach their potential, in a sovereign and contiguous state.”
Netanyahu often appears delusional and paranoid. That is mostly because he is in fact delusional and paranoid, but that’s not important right now. What Netanyahu was getting on about was again the border issue, and specifically the settlements. He is worried about a large Israeli population being located outside of Israel’s borders. I would like to point out something that President Obama and many others have already noted: the settlements are illegal under international law, and at the very least unhelpful to the peace process. The Israeli government knew what is was getting into when it started allowing settlement in the West Bank in the early 1970’s. If Israel wants peace, it has to be willing to re-absorb a significant population of settlers back into Israel proper. Israel is constantly saying Fatah needs to either choose a government with HAMAS or peace with Israel. Well, Israel needs to either choose settlers or peace with Palestine, and possibly other Arab nations. There are settlers in the Golan Heights, and if there is peace with Syria, they will need to go. Would Netanyahu give them up?
What they Heard: “Obama also disregards the unprecedented Palestinian terrorism triggered by the Oslo Accord, by the Israeli initiative to establish the Palestinian Authority and by Israel’s withdrawal from the entire Gaza Strip and from 40% of Judea and Samaria.”— Yoram Ettinger, YNET news
What Obama Said: “As for security, every state has the right to self-defense, and Israel must be able to defend itself — by itself — against any threat. Provisions must also be robust enough to prevent a resurgence of terrorism; to stop the infiltration of weapons; and to provide effective border security. The full and phased withdrawal of Israeli military forces should be coordinated with the assumption of Palestinian security responsibility in a sovereign, non-militarized state. The duration of this transition period must be agreed, and the effectiveness of security arrangements must be demonstrated”
I don’t think I have to add much to what Obama said. He quite clearly and emphatically stated that he knows and cares about the security of the two countries. What people like Mr. Ettinger of YNET News fail to remember is the remarkable stability and security of the areas under Palestinian control in the last years. There is a reason Israeli troop levels in the West Bank have fallen to their lowest since before the First Intifada started in 1987. Is there still work to be done? Of course. But to interpret what the President said as an official condemnation of the existence of the state of Israel is a bit much.
What they Though: “President Obama’s position is at odds with the majority of the American people and most Democrats. It is out of step with most Senators and Representatives, who are empowered to initiate, bloc, suspend, amend and turn around policy. Therefore, Obama’s plan will not be implemented unless the Jewish State wastes its substantial base of American support, submitting itself to the pressure of a relatively-weak president, who is rapidly losing the “Bin Laden bonus,” and increasingly requires congressional cooperation in order to be reelected.” — Yoram Ettinger, YNET
What Obama said: “the United States of America was founded on the belief that people should govern themselves. Now, we cannot hesitate to stand squarely on the side of those who are reaching for their rights, knowing that their success will bring about a world that is more peaceful, more stable, and more just.”
Now, I know, the two quotes aren’t that related. But let us take note of a few things. Mr. Ettinger mentions the American people. Yes, in polls they do favor Israel and pro-Israel policies by a wide margin, and usually think Obama is not doing enough for Israel. But what do the American people actually know about Israel? What do the American people know about just about anything? Why do they think Israel is our only ally in the Middle East? Why do they care so much more about it than any other relationship the U.S. has? The vast majority of Americans are uneducated about the subject, that is why. That might sound a bit condescending, but it’s true. Americans for the most part don’t know just about anything about the world outside of the U.S., especially the Middle East. This is especially sad considering the considerable investment in both money and lives we’ve made in the Middle East. So does Obama’s position stand contrary to that of the majority of the American peoples? Possibly, but at least Obama’s position is grounded in facts and reality.
Now onto Congress. Yes, that last bastion of morals and understanding, a place where the American people are truly and fairly represented. Congress is, and should be, a non-entity on the Israel matter. It is completely beholden to the interests of Israel. That is absolutely undeniable. I consider Canada to be our most important ally and friend, to be like a brother to America. Yet does Canada get nearly as much support in Congress? No. Anything pro-Israel is guaranteed to garner the sort of legislative majority that would make Hugo Chavez blush. This is a plain, boldfaced fact. Any congress member who has spoken ill of Israel in the last decade has been run out of town. I do not perceive Congress to be a good bellwether of American attitudes. Congress is a corrupt, inefficient, self serving social club, not a place where a responsible foreign policy is forged. And guess what? The foreign policy of the United States is the constitutionally mandated arena of the President and the President only. The senate can ratify a treaty. That’s their foreign policy mandate. When it comes down to it, by the strictest letter of the Constitution, the President dictates foreign policy, for well or ill. Does Congress have some ability to effect foreign policy? Yes. But anyone but a member of the executive branch of the government is, by law, forbidden to pursue a foreign policy independent of that same branch. President wins, every time.
And as for this stuff about a weak president who needs help being re-elected. This Yoram Ettinger has obviously not kept up with the political news in the U.S. Take a look at his challengers. John Huntsmann, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty. Obama is doing pretty well for himself, and he’s still got plenty of time to prepare his campaign. He’ll be fine, but we all appreciate your concern, Mr. Ettinger.
Closing Shop
With all that being said, what should we take out of the President’s speech? I think Orly Azoulay, also of YNET News, said it best.
“Obama, despite being younger than both Netanyahu and Abbas, conducted himself like the responsible adult the other night: He signaled to all parties what the required solution is, and outlined the solution once the sides agree to the formula comprising “territory and recognition” – Israel will agree to the principle of marking the borders, and the Palestinians will agree to recognize that the Israel is the state of the Jewish people.”
Obama has clearly showed that he is aware of the circumstances and knows what to do. He knows that Tunisia and especially Egypt desperately need help to get their economies moving, and will need some guidance as they move towards elections and new governments. He knows, probably all too well, the issues between Israelis and the various Arab parties, and in his speech he enumerated what I believe to be respectable policy points.
That has always been Obama though. He knows things. That’s his thing. He’s the policy wonk, always the smartest guy in the room. What he needs to do now is act. He cannot afford to fail on Egypt and Tunisia. He cannot afford to let the current impasse between Israelis and Palestinians continue. Obama needs to, in lack of a better way of phrasing it, grow some balls. Obama is the leader of a superpower, and he needs to act like it. It is not just for them, it is for us.
I think, again, the Orly Azoulay said it best, saying that “In order to realize the two-state vision, Obama needs to hold up a whip, and make the price of rejectionism clear to both sides.”
That all being said, Obama is set to talk to AIPAC on May 22nd. Expect him to be on the defensive, and get your puke bags ready because the Israel loving he will spew will make you ill.
“That is the choice that must be made — not simply in this conflict, but across the entire region — a choice between hate and hope; between the shackles of the past, and the promise of the future. It’s a choice that must be made by leaders and by people, and it’s a choice that will define the future of a region that served as the cradle of civilization and a crucible of strife.” President Barack Obama